This article provides an example of how language can lead to a well-meaning nuclear weapons policy that might have little positive consequence and significant negative consequence.
Likely and Unlikely Events in International Security Affairs: An Example from the People's Republic of China — July 23, 1999
This article describes a human judgment shortfall in international security decision making based on statistical probabilities.
Trends. Ehud Barak and Peace: Mistakes on the 15-Month Mistake — July 23, 1999
The author discusses the citings of many analysts, journalists, and diplomats--the last often speaking on an unattributed basis--a huge error in the current quest for peace between Israel and the Palestinian National Authority and between Israel and Syria and Lebanon.
The author discusses the April 1999 demonstration by members of the Falun Gong sect outside the Zhongnanhai compound in Beijing.