Event-Driven Demand Modeling of European Private Aviation Travel

Noa Teed, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University
Michael Leitelt, Stetson University

Abstract

Accurately predicting the demand for aviation is a complex problem that is essential for the success of the private aviation industries. Factors such as seasonality and location affect the demand for private flights, but high-demand events and holidays introduce additional and often unexpected influences on these services. Flexjet Inc., a renowned global provider of private aviation services, operates extensively in European destinations, where travel is heavily characterized by high-demand events and holidays. This research utilizes detailed characterization data provided by Flexjet Inc. containing over 1.1 million private flights between 2,016 locations from 2018 and 2019. Leveraging advanced data analysis techniques, this project constructs a spatio-temporal forecasting model to accurately predict the demand for private jet travel during high-demand events and holidays in European destinations. This research delivers valuable insights to providers of private aviation, enabling them to proactively respond to market fluctuations and optimize their operational strategies.

 

Event-Driven Demand Modeling of European Private Aviation Travel

Accurately predicting the demand for aviation is a complex problem that is essential for the success of the private aviation industries. Factors such as seasonality and location affect the demand for private flights, but high-demand events and holidays introduce additional and often unexpected influences on these services. Flexjet Inc., a renowned global provider of private aviation services, operates extensively in European destinations, where travel is heavily characterized by high-demand events and holidays. This research utilizes detailed characterization data provided by Flexjet Inc. containing over 1.1 million private flights between 2,016 locations from 2018 and 2019. Leveraging advanced data analysis techniques, this project constructs a spatio-temporal forecasting model to accurately predict the demand for private jet travel during high-demand events and holidays in European destinations. This research delivers valuable insights to providers of private aviation, enabling them to proactively respond to market fluctuations and optimize their operational strategies.