ORCID Number
0009-0001-7331-1745
Date of Award
Fall 2025
Access Type
Dissertation - Open Access
Degree Name
Doctor of Philosophy in Electrical Engineering & Computer Science
Department
Electrical, Computer, Software, and Systems Engineering
Committee Chair
Bryan C. Watson
Committee Chair Email
watsonb3@erau.edu
First Committee Member
Astrid Layton
First Committee Member Email
alayton@tamu.edu
Second Committee Member
Berker Pekoz
Second Committee Member Email
pekozb@erau.edu
Third Committee Member
Shuzhen Luo
Third Committee Member Email
luos@erau.edu
Fourth Committee Member
Vidhyashree Nagaraju
Fourth Committee Member Email
nagarav1@erau.edu
Fifth Committee Member
Dumindu Samaraweera
Fifth Committee Member Email
samarawg@erau.edu
College Dean
James W. Gregory
Abstract
Modern systems are increasingly complex, interconnected cyber-physical systems that combine digital controls with physical infrastructure. This integration, along with the constant introduction of new technologies and actors into the network, enables reliable operation but introduces vulnerabilities to unexpected and varied disruptions and cascading failures, making resilience a critical concern. Traditional risk management and resilience assessment methods often struggle with the nonlinearity and dynamic behavior of these systems. This dissertation proposes a novel approach combining Bifurcation Analysis (BA) and Ecological Network Analysis (ENA) to enhance the understanding and improvement of system resilience. BA, a mathematical method from dynamical systems theory, is employed to identify critical operating thresholds and stability boundaries. ENA, originating from systems ecology, is utilized to analyze the network structure and flow characteristics, potentially revealing topological vulnerabilities and strengths related to resilience. The primary research goal is to investigate how the combination of BA and ENA can inform strategic resilience enhancements in systems. Resilience is evaluated based on the system's absorptive, adaptive, and recovery capabilities. The proposed research consists of three main parts: applying a BA framework to map bifurcation phenomena to specific resilience properties, investigating the utility of ENA metrics for providing insights into the dynamic response of systems (using power networks under stress as the case study), and developing an open-source methodology and computational tool that leverages combined BA-ENA insights for actionable strategies to enhance systems (e.g. placement of assets like batteries in power systems). The methodology is designed for general application in systems across different fields, but it will be validated via detailed power systems case studies. In specific, this project aims to demonstrate the effectiveness of the method by providing alternative approaches to supportive generation placement strategies with both network and dynamic-aware analyses, contributing to a more robust and reliable energy infrastructure.
Scholarly Commons Citation
Gracia Otalvaro, Rogelio, "Resilience Engineering via Bifurcation and Ecological Network Analysis: Demonstrated in an Electric Power Case Study" (2025). Doctoral Dissertations and Master's Theses. 947.
https://commons.erau.edu/edt/947
Included in
Controls and Control Theory Commons, Industrial Engineering Commons, Other Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering Commons, Power and Energy Commons, Risk Analysis Commons, Systems Engineering Commons